Postdoctoral Research Fellowship – Developing and evaluating methods to 
forecast recruitment during rebuilding plans, incorporating autocorrelation 
and environmental effects
Agency:                 National Marine Fisheries Service
Location:               Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, WA
Application process:    NRC Research Fellowship 
(http://sites.nationalacademies.org/pga/rap/); other venues possible
Salary:                 $56,000 + benefits + $3,000 for travel
Last date to apply:     Until filled

Description:
Population dynamics for many federally managed and commercially important 
species is driven in part by variability in recruitment.  Recruitment will 
often exhibit substantial autocorrelation, whether due to environmental 
drivers for cohort strength, changes in predation pressure, and/or changes 
in productivity over time.  However, this autocorrelation is not generally 
modeled during population forecasts, whether used for short-term decisions 
about harvest levels or longer-term decisions regarding fishery rebuilding 
plans.
For this reason, Dr. James Thorson, Liz Brooks, and Rick Methot seek 
applications from postodoctoral candidates with demonstrated experience with 
stock assessment models and fisheries science, including peer-reviewed 
publications and preferably some involvement in previous stock assessments.  
The selected applicant will work closely with all three researchers, and 
will also attend an ICES Study Group on Recruitment Forecasting 
(http://www.ices.dk/ community/groups/Pages/SGRF.aspx) in Copenhagen in June 
2014.  The applicant may also chose to collaborate on other topics related 
to forecasting recruitment including (but not limited to) projections of 
recruitment given changes in global temperature, forecasts involving 
correlations among species, and probabilistic recruitment projections in 
fishery rebuilding plans.

Qualifications
Applicants must have completed a Doctoral degree or be on track to finish 
one by summer of 2014.  The NRC Fellowship position is set to begin by June 
2014 and will be funded for one year.  Applicants are encouraged from a wide 
variety of disciplines (ecology, fisheries, statistics, and related fields), 
but applicants with experience in population modelling will be favored.  
Fluency with a computer language (e.g., R, C++) is required.
Inquiries should be sent to Drs. Thorson and Brooks by email.  Please 
include a CV (including past publications and experience with stock 
assessment), and names and contact information for three references.  
Contact persons:  
•       Dr. James Thorson, [email protected]
•       Dr. Liz Brooks, [email protected]

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