Hi, I hope my belief that this will be of interest is not misplaced!
The Chronicle of Higher Education has a set of forums in which academics,
mostly liberal arts, discuss academic issues.

So, today I got on that forum and noticed this discussion about the number
of applications people submitted and the number of phone, conference,
campus interviews and offers they received.

Link here: http://chronicle.com/forums/index.php/topic,193969.0.html

It was pretty interesting to see the claims, and at first it was difficult
to make much sense out of it.  So, I sat down and put all the claims into a
spreadsheet.  I would think, despite most of the people be liberal arts
people, that the general trend should be true for us ecology types.

Its only 27 respondents, but check this out.....

The averages superficially suggest it takes on average roughtly
8-9 applications to get one phone interview
11-12 applications to get one campus interview
32-33 applications to get one offer.
This tells you that if you send out 1-2 applications, your probability of
getting an interview or an offer is pretty low.

Effect of No. of applications on No. of phone interviews: R-sq = 0.81
(phone interviews = -1.19 + 0.15*[no. of applications])

Effect of No. of phone interviews on campus interviews: R-sq = 0.033.

Effect of No. of campus interviews on tenure track offers: R-sq = 0.294,
slope = 0.26.

Part of this probably relates to campus interviews w/o preliminary phone
interviews as it was not always clear how frequently this happened.
Regardless, I think one can see that the more applications you send,
the more likely you will get a phone interview, and the more phone
interviews you get should translate into ultimately more offers.  However,
just applying at random probably does little to increase your chances.

These were the results based on each post....
(I only counted ones where they indicated the N of applications)

Number of applications submitted (27 respondents)
51.7 = mean number of applications submitted.
26.5 = median number of applications submitted.
68.6 = SD for N of applications.
3-331 = range
10-40 = quartile range

Number of Phone interviews from above applications submitted...
6.8 = mean phone interviews
0.5 = median phone interviews
11.7= SD
0-52 = range
0-9 = quartile range

Number of campus interviews from above pool....
3.8 = mean number of campus interviews
4.0 = median number of campus interviews
3.8 = SD
0-15 = range
3-6 = quartile range

Number of non-tenure track offers from above pool....
0.53 = mean number of non-tenure track offers
0.00 = median number of non-tenure track offers
1.80 = SD
0-8 = range
0-1 = quartile range

Number of tenure track offers from above pool.....
1.58 = mean number of tenure track offers
1.00 = median number of tenure track offers
1.80 = SD
0-6 = range
0-3 = quartile range









-- 
Malcolm L. McCallum, PHD, REP

Link to online CV and portfolio :
https://www.visualcv.com/malcolm-mc-callum?access=18A9RYkDGxO
Google Scholar citation page:
https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=lOHMjvYAAAAJ&hl=en
Academia.edu:
https://ui-springfield.academia.edu/MalcolmMcCallum/Analytics#/activity/overview?_k=wknchj
Researchgate:
 https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Malcolm_Mccallum/reputation?ev=prf_rep_tab
<https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Malcolm_Mccallum/reputation?ev=prf_rep_tab>
Ratemyprofessor: http://www.ratemyprofessors.com/ShowRatings.jsp?tid=706874

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