Hello Jorge,

If you would like to look at an accessible text try:

Bayesian Methods for Ecology Paperback – May 10 2007
by Michael A. McCarthy

The Wikipedia entry has a number of errors, so not to be trusted.

Speaking of being careful, there are no verifiable pictures of
Thomas Bayes.  The picture that is always shown is that of a cleric
at a time similar to that to Bayes.

Speaking of being careful, you have to be a *really astute*
to find anything like "Bayes Theorem* in Bayes (+Price)
article in 1763.  Try reading it.

For some background, a quick read:

When did Bayesian inference become "Bayesian"?
Stephen E. Feinberg
Bayesian Analysis
Volume 1, Number 1 (2006), 1-40.

For a well informed and tongue in cheek example
of Bayesian analysis, see:

Stigler, Stephen M (1983). "Who Discovered Bayes' Theorem?".
The American Statistician. 37 (4): 290–296.
doi:10.1080/00031305.1983.10483122.

In my experience Bayesian analysis makes sense with a
monitoring program, where we have evidence based priors.
In fisheries research we have annual surveys and we have
*lots* of subjective priors to
deal with, to which Bayesian has an answer.

I think Bayesian makes sense in an activity such as NEON,
National Ecological Observatory Network, where I did
Bayesian workshop in R.

The computational details require substantial
computer resources (MCMC, look it up) to "burn in" the choice
of distributional assumptions.

The differences in opinion within the Bayesian camp
can be as intense as the Fisher vs Neyman-Pearson wars
in the frequentist camp in the last century.

In the end though, the way we think, as humans, is Bayesian,
working from subjective priors.  The question is- what is the role
of Bayesian thinking in science, a public activity.

Good luck!
David S



On 2018-09-10 16:10, Jorge A. Santiago-Blay wrote:
Bayesian inference in ecology/biology

Dear Colleagues:

I am looking for papers, book chapters, etc. on the subject of
Bayesian inference in ecology/biology. I have found a few articles
available on the web (and already ordered a few books) but they do not
seem to provide an appropriate background for me (and I suspect for
the students who want to learn more about it).

If you have constructive suggestions, please send them directly to me
at

[email protected]

Sincerely,

Jorge

P.S. Apologies for potential duplicate emails.

Jorge A. Santiago-Blay, PhD
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