----- Original Message -----
From: "David Robinson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Monday, February 19, 2001 2:29 PM
Subject: Stat History
> I am trying to find a discussion that links the initial work by
> Bayes/Laplace and the move to the frequentist view (a short why the
> approach by Laplace was abandoned and when). Any help would be
> appreciated!
>
I can't give you a definitive source.
One of the influences in the early 20th century was Richard von Mises,
and his works (book) "Probability, Statistics and Truth". In his third
lecture, he goes into detail on why the classical view of Laplace
would not hold up. For a detailed argument, I would suggest you get
the book from Dover and read the some 30 pages of his third lecture.
von Mises views had considerable influence at the time.
Fisher pointed out the dilemma of trying to define a meaning for
probability outside of the Bayesian view and frequentist views in his
books. Interest in the problem of the meaning of probability kina died
out after the 1930's. The problem still remains, what is "equally
likely or equally likely cases mean" in a non-circular sense.
DAHeiser
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