On Wed, 15 Mar 2000, Ralf Sigmund (privat) wrote:

> has anybody an idea, whether the following sentence should be correct?
> 
> 'non-overlapping 84% bivariate confidence regions approximate
> statistically significant differences with p < 0.05. Two-sided test.'

I don't recall having seen a reply to this question.
About the bivariate case I am not certain.  For the univariate case, with 
two independent groups of about the same size, it is roughly correct, if 
the confidence regions are the usual symmetrical intervals.  Analysis:

For convenience assume equal variances in the two groups.  Then the means 
differ (p < 0.05) if the distance between them is > 2 standard errors of 
the difference (i.e., if t > 2) approximately.  For equal sample sizes, 
the standard error of the difference = sqrt(2) times the std. error of 
the mean;  difference between means then > 2.8 std. errors of the mean. 
Half that difference = 1.4 std. errors.  84% confidence interval is 
(mean +/- 1.4 std. errors);  so non-overlapping confidence intervals 
would show that the means were at least 1.4 + 1.4 = 2.8 std. errors 
apart, hence significantly different (p < 0.05).

It is plausible that a similar relationship holds in the bivariate case. 

 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Donald F. Burrill                                 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,          [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264                                 603-535-2597
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110                          603-471-7128  



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