uh-oh, what am I saying ...

On Fri, 27 Oct 2000 14:21:36 -0400, Rich Ulrich <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:
< snip, cite >
> No, you have it wrong.  Think about the case where the two
> candidates/options  add exactly to 100% -- the  "4% error"  is exactly
> the same 4% for both, since one goes down exactly as much as the other
> goes up.  This is "correlation" among the proportions.  With a few

There is something to what I just posted, but I think I was not paying
attention--
Take two categories adding to 100%;  for the larger to have its CI
above 50%, (for this N) it must run from a mean of 54%.  That is your
8 point difference.  

(However, I don't believe a poll result is quite *that*  bad....)

I am confusing myself.  I will let someone else answer further.

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html


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