"Robert Chung" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
AOJO5.408511$[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:AOJO5.408511$[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>
> "Peter Lewycky" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
(snip)
> Oh come on. As statisticians, we can't and don't (usually) make
> claims with absolute surety. However, it was a nice bit of quick
> data analysis to show how anomalous the vote was. For all I know,
> Palm Beach County is the Pat Buchanan stronghold of the world.
Not unless there was a nazy convention in the area.
--
Dr Julie Lamoureux, dmd, MSc
Tampa, Florida
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> But, in a greater sense, it is not up to us as statisticians to
> assess who was in the "right," or to assign blame, or especially
> to recommend remedies. It *is* perfectly within our sphere
> of expertise to demonstrate that something was odd, to speculate
> about mechanisms that might explain the oddity, and to estimate
> its size. Personally, I think that Adams has jumped the gun on his
> regression estimates of the size of the oddity. But that doesn't
> vitiate the simple analysis that shows that something was,
> indeed, very odd. I agree that there is no evidence of widespread
> fraud. However, even taking into account growth in Reform
> Party membership in the county I think it disingenuous to believe
> there's no evidence of *error*.
>
> --Robert Chung
>
>
>
>
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