On 14 Nov 2000 14:38:49 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
(Shareef Siddeek) wrote:
> Dear Stat gurus,
>
> Can someone tell me what is the appropriate stochastic (natural)
> mortality model for people. Thanks. Siddeek
Searching in Google on Gompertz Law statistics, I found
"Gompertz Curve -- from Eric Weisstein's World of Mathematics"
- which is a Web site that unfortunately is closed by a law suit.
Clicking on Google's "cached" version of the site gave a page that
cites the aptly-titled primary reference,
Gompertz, B. "On the Nature of the Function Expressive of the Law of
Human Mortality, and on a New Mode of Determining the Value of Life
Contingencies." Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London 123, 513-585, 1832.
You can find more useful references by duplicating my search.
>From my reading of U.S. mortality tables in almanacs: With modern
numbers in the model, the risk (statistically: hazard rate) of death
is low for people at age 30-35, and then doubles with each additional
8 or 9 years of age.
--
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
=================================================================
Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about
the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at
http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/
=================================================================
