Data indicates that hits on a target are
distributed as a circular normal with parameter s.
Thus knowing s and the target size, one can
calculate the probability of a hit; however, there
is no theoretical function giving s as a function
of distance, although an inverse square law may
apply -- I don't know. It is also possible that
one could fit a curve to the probabilities as a
function of distance, but since the probability
approaches unity as the distance decreases, it
might be very nonlinear. At the very least you
will need estimates of s for several distances to
proceed with a calculation.
janssen_w wrote:
>
> Hi group,
>
> I'm looking for an method to calculate the hit probabilty for the first shot
> fired with a rifle.
>
> From this rifle and its ammonition are measured in previous sessions a mean
> and a standard deviation.
> Also the target size and distance are know.
>
> Can anyone give me a tip (preferable in a excel sheet solution) how to
> obtain such a figure?
>
> With regards
>
> Wim
--
Bob Wheeler --- (Reply to: [EMAIL PROTECTED])
ECHIP, Inc.
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