I'm a non-statistics person (software engineer) with what I assume is a simple question inspired by the goings-on in Florida. I'll try to word it as accurately as I can, not knowing the right lingo: If one has N binary events (e.g. 10,000 ballots), each with an assumed probability P of "heads" and 1-P of "tails" (let's pick a P of 0.6), what is the probability that a run of these N events will produce a value >= X percent (let's pick 10%) greater than the expected value. To reword, what is the probability that a run of N (10,000) events, each with an assumed probability P (0.6) of "heads", will actually produce a result >= N*(P+P*X/100) (6600)? Mike Sent via Deja.com http://www.deja.com/ Before you buy. ================================================================= Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =================================================================
