In article <008201c14763$9392f260$e10e6a81@PEDUCT225>, 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

#I use to find that students respoded well to the idea that the hypothesis
#test told you, within the limits of likelihood set, where the parameter
#wasn't while confidence intervals told you where the parameter was.

But confidence intervals do not necessarily tell you where the parameter 
was. Jaynes gives an example of a 90% confidence interval, such that you 
can see from the data that it is certain that the parameter does NOT lie 
in the interval in question. Tom Loredo gives essentially the same 
example in

   http://bayes.wustl.edu/gregory/articles.pdf
   http://bayes.wustl.edu/gregory/articles.ps.gz

Bill

-- 
Bill Jefferys/Department of Astronomy/University of Texas/Austin, TX 78712
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