On 3 Dec 2002 12:47:11 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (nothanks) wrote:

> Dear sci.stat*ers,
> 
>   I'm reading Collett's book on survival analsyis and cannot figure
> out the derivation for the # of individuals at risk in j-th time
> interval
> [t_j, t_{j+1}].  
> 
> This # (called effective sample size in SAS documentaion) is 
> 
>   n_j + c_j/2,  
> 
> where n_j is number alive at j-th interval and c_j is number of
> censored survival times.
> 
> Can anyone offer an explanation?  

The effective sample is the number who went through
the period, plus half the dropouts.  (The ones who 'died'  
usually are credited with only  1/2  of that period, too.)

The assumption is that the dropouts (censored) are 
dropping out, on the average, halfway through the period;
and another assumption is that the period is relatively 
small -- so that the risk, in every sense, is about the same
in the first half <of the period> as in its second half.  

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
.
.
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