On 3 Jul 2003 05:11:00 -0700, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Shannon) wrote:

> We are trying to pick some predictors for logistic regression.  Is
> there a rule of thumb on how much variance is needed in order to make
> it a possible predictor?  Are there other things (besides a priori
> assumptions, that is other descriptives) we should look at to
> determine what might be a good predictor?

Here is a rule-of-thumb about a predictor that is a dichotomy:
if there isn't enough variance so that you can write 
a 2x2  table that is 'significant', then you won't find
a 'significant'  contribution.

That should hold up pretty well, despite your definition
of 'significant'.  

For continuous variables, the variance represents the 
range of the sample in hand.  You can't expect to do 
decent prediction for ages 20 to 60  if your data is 
limited to (20,40). 
 
How well can you extrapolate beyond the observed?
 - that always depend on the R-squared, and it depends
in a more subtle way on how much you trust the theory
you are modeling.

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
"Taxes are the price we pay for civilization."  Justice Holmes.
.
.
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