On 17 Aug 2003 06:41:53 -0700, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Simon, Steve, PhD)
wrote:

> Sid writes:
>  
> >If one method gives a 10% improvement over another then it might
> >make all the difference.
> 
>  
> 
> So how would you know that one method was 10% better than another?
> 

Very good question!

What sport are was this discussion about, 
where there was any carry-over effect at all?

It has been shown pretty well that there is no such thing
as a 'hot hand'  in basketball, for one evening or across games.
Points-scored in basketball is (at least)  a continuous outcome, 
which makes it easier to research (that is, smaller N is needed)
than dichotomous outcomes.

Having hits in baseball doesn't carry over, or hitting homers.

Historical winning streaks in team sports seem to match
the number of consecutive games that you would expect 
by chance, without much in the way of assumptions....

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
"Taxes are the price we pay for civilization."  Justice Holmes.
.
.
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