Chris, without actually seeing the data and testing several
assumptions then is is hard to advise you on appropriate tools.
Nevertheless, a regression 'type' model would be, IMHO, a good first
start. The end result might be linear, quadratic, or some other form.

If you want, contact me directly and we can take a prelim look,
WMB
Statistical Services

mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://home.earthlink.net/~statmanz
=======================================

"C.Rothe" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>...
> Hello,
> 
> I could need some advice on the following problem: I have measurements of
> certain similar economic variables in a fixed region over time (i.e. I have
> unemployment
> rates for different age groups in a country over the last 33 years). The
> data set
> also includes a number of explanatory variables (both economic and
> socio-demographic).
> 
> In the end, I want to be able to make statements like "Policy A will reduce
> youth
> unemployment, whereas Policy B affects all types of unemployment to the same
> extend".
> 
> Can anyone suggest a suitable class of models to approach this problem?
> Linear
> regression does not seem appropriate since I'm looking at time series data.
> Somebody suggested to look at panel data analysis, but I'm not too sure
> about
> this either since the values of the explanatory variables would be the same
> for all
> groups. Does anyone have a better idea?
> 
> Thanks
> 
> Chris
.
.
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