I suspect that have over formulated the problem, and I doubt if any 
answer you receive will help. Try describing the biological problem you 
are working on -- give us some background.

Rich Strauss wrote:
> (My apologies if you've received this before.  I was somehow 
> unsubscribed from Edstat without my knowledge and had to resubscribe, 
> with some of my user options changing in the process.)
> 
> I have what seems to be a fairly simple and common problem: given an 
> estimate of the probability of occurrence of an event and a desired 
> level of confidence (CL), I'm interested in estimating the minimum 
> sample size (Nmin) needed to be CL% confident of observing the event 
> (based on the conventional "frequentist" concept of confidence).  I've 
> done some extensive simulations as so can predict what I need, down to 
> probabilities of occurrence of 1e-5.  However, I can't seem to match 
> these to theory.  I know how to estimate the Nmin needed to estimate a 
> proportion within a specified tolerance, but can't see how to apply that 
> to this problem.  I've scanned quite a few stats texts and have done 
> Google and Scirus searches but can't locate what I need.  Can anyone 
> suggest a lead or something to read?
> 
> Rich Strauss
> 
> 
> =============================================================
> Dr. Richard E. Strauss                  (806) 742-2719
> Biological Sciences                     (806) 742-2963 Fax
> Texas Tech University                   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Lubbock, TX  79409-3131
> <http://www.biol.ttu.edu/Strauss/Strauss.html>
> =============================================================
> 
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-- 
Bob Wheeler --- http://www.bobwheeler.com/
         ECHIP, Inc. ---
Randomness comes in bunches.

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