On 1 Dec 2003 05:54:53 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Chuck Robertson)
wrote:

> I have a question about power analysis related to a t-test of some
> weights in multiple regression equations. I'm afraid I'm a cognitive
> psychologist, so if I give you to much info below about my experiment
> please accept my apology.
> 
[ snip; stuff that confused me ]
> equations.  As an example, at a 1 second encoding time the older adults
> have a significant beta weight for speed as a predictor (b = .31) but
> the young adults do not (b = .15), in the same equation young adults
> have a significant beta weight for vocabulary (b = .24) but older adults
> do not (b = .19). This casually looks like a difference when eyeballing
> the equations, speed is the only significant predictor for older adults
> and vocabulary is the only significant predictor for young adults at a 1

If I may speak as someone who has looked at a lot of 
regressions and has written a lot of power statements:  

If you don't have a really *strong*  effect somewhere, then 
you aren't likely to detect *differences*  from the effect.

For a difference to show up on a  .05  test,  keep in mind 
that when the coefficient for one group is  "p= 0.05",
what it demonstrates  is that the b   is JUST BARELY
determined as different from a FIXED VALUE  of zero.
If you want another test where a b  is different from a
another coefficient whose value was zero, that other test
would not be 'as significant'  -- comparing b  to zero is 
going to be stronger than comparing b  to a floating value
that is only estimated as zero.

So, for your tests:  If one is positive and barely p=.05,
then the other is going to have to be negative in order to 
have the test be significant.  


To me, <above>  looks as if there are happenstance-differences 
showing up because a lot of tests are being performed; and 
(so far) it is rather unlikely that the data illustrate any actual
differences between the ages.  If the same group were 
favored in both tests that gave p < .05,  then there *might*  
be a bit more reason to think that one group was superior -- 
in  my experience, 'main effects'  are more likely and more 
believable than  'interactions'; having opposing effects speaks
to an interaction among variables.


> second encoding time for the memory material. Interestingly, when I look
> at the t-test for difference between the B weights, I fail to reject the
> null of no significant difference between the weights. The t-test for
> difference between the speed predictors is t = -.51 and t = .14 for the
> vocabulary predictors. Of course I do not want to accept the null, I am
> really curious as to how much power I had to detect a significant
> difference with my sample size of 80 younger and 80 older adults in each
> equation.

I hesitate to give any formula because you thoroughly do
not understand what you have in hand.  Let's say that you
power comes out to be (say)  15%  and 8%  for those two.
Now what?

> 
> I need help computing the effect size given my SPSS output from the
> regressions. I assume that I need to compute f as an effect size since
> this isn't teh typical t-test. Can anyone tell me how to do that given
> the weights and the standard errors for the weights from the output? I
> must be doing something wrong as my f's are way to large.
> 

Well, I should back up and tell you this:  So far as I could tell,
you did not use the appropriate test.  I'm still not sure what 
you are working at, but I'm pretty sure that you should  have --
 a) tested a model with all 160  cases; and 
 b) added a variable to account for one group's difference
  in intercept (look at its test) ; and
 c) added another variable (and test) to account for slope.

Your hypothesis is probably something like one of them, 
(b) or (c),  where the other one is a nuisance parameter.  

But I could be wandering off base, so I will not say 
any more for now.


-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
"Taxes are the price we pay for civilization." 
.
.
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