Rich Ulrich <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>...
> On 8 Dec 2003 11:09:20 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Frank Rigous)
> wrote:
> > 
> > I am new to the group and not very experienced in statistics. I
> > thought I had a classical design, two groups with either treatment A
> > or B, measuring the response at 4 time point where the first one is a
> > baseline measurement. I was very astonished not finding any example
> > for this design.
> 
> Randomized, I hope.
Yes, randomized.

> 
> That sounds classical enough, if you expect a linear trend
> and that is what you will test for.  Look for "trend".
> 
> > 
> > My first idea of analysing was to calculate 3 t-tests with the
> > difference to baseline. But as I found (e.g. Altmann) this is not
> > recommended. He suggested a summary statistic - but this seems not
> > possible because the course in time may vary a lot.
> 
> *How*  might the course in time vary?
At the beginning (between time point 2 and 1) there can be a decrease
or increase; afterwards there should be an increase. Therefore at
least no linear trend is expected.

> 
> If the advantage is early and sustained, then you get a
> powerful test by using the average of the three as 'outcome'.
> Usually, the best test of 'final outcome'  (the way that you might
> describe this one)  will be the one-way analysis of covariance.
> That  compares the regressed-change scores.
Most examples I found (thanks!) do not include an interaction. I think
it makes sense to include an interaction. Is that right?

> 
> If the advantage is slow and late, you might get the effective 
> test by ignoring time2 and time3 -- just test time4 with base-
> covariate, instead of taking an average of 2, 3, and 4.
> 
> I set up a design for some drug studies where the initial impact
> was *strong*  and was followed by several periods of 
> (a) no-more-change,  (b) further drift in the same direction, or 
> (c) drift back towards baseline.  That would have been tougher
> to test against placebo, but those were big changes and we
> were satisfied to describe them:  as size of change, and the
> subsequent  linear trend.
I can not imagine how to model this. May you show me the model?


Frank Rigous
.
.
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