On 6 Jan 2004 08:25:53 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Kea) wrote:

> Hello,
> I have two question regarding the definition of "odds":
> 
> 1. Which statistical technique do the "odds" correspond to? Is it
[ snip, about Bayes; probability; who introduced it ... ]

Gamblers have been talking about "odds"  for centuries.  I think.

The *modern*  statistical usage is the one with "log-odds".
The log-odds were encouraged by the development of additive,
log-linear  models  for  multi-way contingency tables.

Bioassay was talking about logits, decades ago, partly because
they were more convenient to compute than "probits."  
(Neither was very convenient, before computers.)

Also, a few decades ago,  heightened interest in health  
(tobacco, asbestos, industrial exposures)  meant that 
"survivorship curves"  grew in popularity, along with several
related concepts including relative-risks.  However, true
"relative risks"  are relatively intractable in math, compared 
to odds-ratios,  so the latter have been given a bigger stage. 
And it sometimes happens that Odds ratios are mislabeled
Relative risks, because the latter name seems more 'natural.'

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
"Taxes are the price we pay for civilization." 
.
.
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