In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
ZHANG Yan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> P(sum(T_i) < a |  max(T_i) < b)  P{max(T_i) < b}

>> Or perhaps it is easy somehow to compute the n-fold convolution of the
>> conditional distribution?

It depends on what one means by "easy", and this depends
on the precise distribution.  If m(z) = E(exp(z*T_k)|T_k < b},
then P(sum(T_k) > a | max(T_k) < b) is given by

(1/2*\pi*i)*\int_{c-i*\infty}^{c+i*\infty) m(z)^n*exp(-za)/z dz,

where c > 0.  Frequently a good approximation can be made
by steepest descent.

>Thanks for your kind help.
>It seems for me that the conditional probability

>P(sum(T_i) < a |  max(T_i) < b)

>is difficult to compute. Can you plz give more information? Thanks.

If you want "closed form", these are generally unavailable.

The easiest case is that of the uniform; it is just the
probability that \sum(U_k) < a/b, where the U_k are 
uniform (0,1), and this is in a "closed form" given in
the 19th century.  Probably the next easiest is that of
a gamma distribution, where the distribution of the T's
given the sum is independent of the sum, but this is 
still a little nasty, although studied.


-- 
This address is for information only.  I do not claim that these views
are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]         Phone: (765)494-6054   FAX: (765)494-0558
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