Woodall free riding uses some irrelevant candidate that is ranked first.

Hylland free riding does not rank the favourite candidate.

A third approach to free riding is to rearrange the candidates to reflect the estimated probabilities.

The true preference order of a voter is A>B>C>D>E>... The voter expects A to be elected quite certainly. Candidates B and C are less certain. The voter considers B and C to be almost as good as A. Candidates starting from D are considerably worse. As a result the voter decides to vote B>C>A>D>E>...

This strategy increases the probability of B or C to be elected. If B and C are not elected the vote goes to A (not lost in the case that A needs more votes since it gets less votes than expected (due to strategic voting or for other reasons)). It is possible that B or C gets elected while A will not, but the risks are not too big. In any case the three clearly best candidates (A, B, C) will get all possible power of this vote. There is also no risk of the vote going to some irrelevant candidate (as in Woodall free riding).

This generalizes to any preference order, not only to the handling of the first favourite. The voter can estimate the probabilities of all candidates to become elected (also taking into account the impact of strategic voting) and the rearrange the whole preference list based on the estimated probabilities and the personal utility of each candidate.

The resulting strategic preference order could resemble that of Woodall free riding if there is a candidate that very certainly will not be elected. The utility of that candidate may be quite low.

The resulting strategic preference order could resemble that of Hylland free riding if the probability of the favourite candidate is very high. That candidate would however be listed somewhere close to the end of the list.

Juho




                
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