Raph Frank wrote:
On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:58 PM, Steve Eppley <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
For recounting in close states to affect the outcome, the leader's share of
the EC (prior to recounts) would need to be very very close to half of the
EC.
If a State has 10 seats, then it would be 0.2% per seat.
However, I would agree, in most cases, there wouldn't be an issue, as
it would require 2 things to happen at once. First, there would need
to be an extremely close national election and also an extremely close
State vote.
Perhaps the chances of this could be estimated by looking at how past
presidential elections have gone. The national data is easily
accessible, but I don't know about the state data; I know Wikipedia has
diagrams of which way the various states voted in each presidential
election, but to my knowledge, that doesn't show the margins that you'd
need to see which states were close.
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