Warren Smith wrote:
I am currently working on writing a paper on this election. In the
event you or anybody can find more poll data, that'd help. I'd be
especially interested if anybody can find a range-voting-style poll.
I'm handicapped by lack of knowledge of the Romanian language.
If I'm doing this right... using your poll data and the final election
result, one gets:
BAS vs ANT: 47-53 (Insomar poll)
GEN vs ANT: 52.4-47.6 (ditto)
BAS vs GEN: 50.33-49.66 (actual election result)
which gives a Condorcet matrix of (where row beats column)
#ANT #BAS #GEN
ANT 0.0 53.0 47.6
BAS 47.0 0.0 50.3
GEN 52.4 49.7 0.0
where the advanced methods thus give GEN > ANT > BAS. In other words,
the candidate who won the actual election would have been ranked last
under these methods!
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