Warren Smith suggested …

‘How about, as a first step, DEFINING "covering"?’

Fair enough:

There are several common variants to the meaning of “cover” depending on how 
ties are treated.  For my 
purposes, alternative C covers alternative A iff C is not beaten (pairwise) by 
any candidate that does not 
beat A, AND C beats at least one candidate that A does not beat, or C ties at 
least one alternative that 
beats A.

In other words C does at least as well as A (with regard to pairwise 
win/tie/loss) against each alternative, 
and does better on at least one alternative.

Here I assume that A is tied with itself, so if C is tied with A, it can still 
cover A, as long as it does as 
well as A against the other alternatives and strictly better against at least 
one of them.

If the voters are distributed symmetrically around some center in some 
Euclidean space, then C covers 
A iff C is closer to the center than A.  

If C covers A and among those alternatives that cover A it is the one that has 
the greatest defeat 
strength against A, then C is arguably a natural compromise candidate for the 
supporters of A.  As 
Condorcet enthusiasts know, there are many ways to measure defeat strength.  
James Green-Armytage 
has argued persuasively for using Cardinal Weighted Pairwise (CWP) as the best 
measure of defeat 
strength in River, Ranked Pairs, and Schulze CSSD/ Beatpath, when cardinal 
information is available.

I’m not sure that CWP is the best defeat strength measure in the context of 
finding the most natural 
compromise candidate for alternative A.

In fact, I think that the alternative C (among those that cover A) against 
which A has the least CWP 
score is a better choice (as opposed to the C that has the greatest CWP score 
against A) because then 
A supporters can rate compromise C equal to A without hurting C’s chances.

Forest

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