I computed a large list of paradox probabilities in instant runoff voting (plurality runoff) using Monte Carlo.
It is here: http://rangevoting.org/IrvParadoxProbabilities.html My numbers sometimes agree and sometimes disagree with previous work (including both publshed literature & my own years-old independent calculations) I would like to resolve the disagreements. (My computer program is linked to the page near bottom.) They might be due to bugs in my program. Or I might be right and the older work is erroneous. Unfortunately it seems very easy to make errors in this area. It also would be possible to compute exact results instead of Monte Carlo inexact results. (I briefly discuss how on the page.) I think the table may have bugs but is never hugely far off the truth. -- Warren D. Smith http://RangeVoting.org <-- add your endorsement (by clicking "endorse" as 1st step) and math.temple.edu/~wds/homepage/works.html ---- Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
