On 11.7.2011, at 2.05, [email protected] wrote:

> 
> 
>> Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2011 23:30:21 +0300
>> From: Juho Laatu 
>>> On 9.7.2011, at 22.23, [email protected] wrote:
>> 
>>> Here's an idea.
>>> 
>>> First pick a party (with full knowledge who the candidates are 
>> in each party).
>>> 
>>> Then hold an open "primary" to pick the winning candidate from 
>> the winning party.
>> 
>> This sounds like a two-phase single winner election. The first 
>> used single-winner method should maybe be such that it elects 
>> major parties only (i.e. no "weak" compromise parties). I'm not 
>> sure the short description yet guarantees a two-party rule. The 
>> idea of ordering a "late primary" is an interesting approach to 
>> allowing multiple candidates for each party but still keeping 
>> the method simple (two election days probably needed but 
>> otherwise nice and clear).
>> 
>> Juho
> 
> Under our current system those who vote in the primary go to the polls twice, 
> anyway.  We would get 
> more interest in the "primary" if it was held after the winning party was 
> chosen.  And it would save the 
> waste of having multiple primaries.

Ok, the cost of the election may actually decrease. Participation in the second 
round may be higher than in the current primaries. That would increase the 
costs a bit, but maybe high number of voters is not a bad thing.

> 
> I would recommend using Approval for both stages; i.e. first for choosing the 
> party, and second for 
> electing someone from the slate of the winning party.

Maybe you are seeking simplicity and therefore not recommending e.g. Condorcet 
methods. Approval is fine in principle but I'm a bit worried about strategic 
problems when one of the wings has two equally strong candidates.

> 
> By the way, there is no good reason for requiring that the different parties 
> have mutually exclusive slates 
> of candidates.
> 
> The key to getting real support for the Greens, say, would be for them to add 
> the best quality candidates 
> from the other parties onto their list.  Unlike the usual version of "fusion" 
> it would have more than 
> symbolic value, it could lead to an actual victory of the Greens over the 
> Democrats and Republicans.

That is an interesting approach that allows third parties to gain popularity by 
making wiser decisions than the major parties. In the challenge I requested 
two-party approaches that allow only major parties to rule. This approach would 
allow Greens to have their say, but still one of the major parties could win. 
Probably this approach makes this approach increases also the chances of the 
Green party to win one day, but also that is in the spirit of the challenge 
since the target was to allow third parties to grow and win one day. This is in 
a way a soft approach to allowing third parties to become more credible in time.

(I'm not sure if we are going in the direction of allowing only the major 
parties to rule (in line with the targets of the challenge) or in the direction 
of allowing also small third parties to rule. There is a bit of both approaches 
here. But there is the spirit of making the current systems better anyway. And 
both keeping the method major party oriented and allowing also others to rule 
when appropriate are possible approaches to improving the system.)

One quite brutal strategy in this method would be to first nominate numerous 
candidates that all parties like, but if the strategic party wins the first 
round, then some key candidates will be withdrawn to make space for some of the 
favourites of the party. Hopefully the candidates are independent enough to 
make their own decisions and not allow this strategy to be used.

I assume that all the candidates are known already when the first round takes 
place. There might be some regret if people vote for party X in the first round 
because it has many nice candidates, but at the second round the worst one of 
those candidates wins. One could make strategic nominations so that for example 
party X nominates at least one centrist candidate from party X that is likely 
to be liked also among other parties, and in addition to its own candidates it 
nominates some extremists from the other parties. In that way one can at least 
in principle collect votes (especially extremist votes) from the other parties 
at the first round, but at the second round it is probable that one of the 
remaining centrist candidates (that are all from party X) wins.

Juho



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