> > > dlw: I believe you're serious. Like I said, I'm not that motivated by > money....(especially for a guy with a PhD in Econ.) It's a byproduct of me > being an aspie. So I'd feel bad about taking you up on the 2nd one and the > first bet is inadequately framed in my view.... > > C'mon. Neither of them is worth more than about $60 in net present value. I can afford that plus the risk.
I realize that bet 1 is underspecified, but I don't think your direction for specifying it is good because it relies on a lot of work that would be better spent just promoting reform. I think we could develop an objective metric of "support" which didn't require so much intervention. Jameson
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