2012/3/9 Kristofer Munsterhjelm <[email protected]> > On 03/08/2012 06:27 AM, robert bristow-johnson wrote: > > It didn't happen, much to my astonishment: >> >> http://www.burlingtonvt.gov/**CT/Elections/Results---DMS-** >> Documents/2012/Annual-City-**Election-Results/<http://www.burlingtonvt.gov/CT/Elections/Results---DMS-Documents/2012/Annual-City-Election-Results/> >> >> So, for the time being, losing the ranked ballot hasn't hurt the cause >> of majority rule in Burlington Vermont, but when the Progs decide to >> jump back into the game, I still fear it might. >> >> Sorry for not updating you folks earlier. I was pretty wrecked last >> night and this morning. Finally got over the hangover this evening. >> > > I suspect that either of the 2.5-party methods (as well as those that do > even worse, like Plurality) lead to third parties eventually being squeezed > out from the position in question - either by themselves (from not wanting > to spoil the election) or by the voters (that don't want to make the > greater evil win). > > In Plurality, the Progs are the potential spoilers; in IRV, the > Republicans. > > I don't know what method 40% runoff will end up being closer to in > Duvergerian terms -- 50% runoff or plain old Plurality.
Depends if the republicans can get more than 40% more than half the time. I'd say they probably can, so it ends up being more like plurality. Jameson > > > ---- > Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info >
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