oops, there were a few mistakes in what I sent, because I hit "send" prematurely:
They publish their data in a singularly useless format, but here's what I > see in the tables for approval: > without polls: > minority wins: 5/48 > minority in 2-way tie: 7/48 > minority in 3-way tie: 2/48 > Total minority expected wins: 19% (was 26% for approval) > I meant, 26% for plurality. > > with polls: > MiW: 2/48 > Mi2T: 10/48 > Mi3T: 0 > TMiEW: 30% (17% for approval) > Again, I meant 17% for plurality. Also, for approval, the total by my count of the data table is only 14.6%. I got the 30% number because there is an EVIL error in this paper. It says that for approval with polls, "the minority candidate achieved only 14.6 victories (out of 48 chances, counting two-way ties as 1/2-victories and three-way ties as 1/3-victories)." Obviously, I realized that you can't get 14.6 by adding wholes, halfs, and thirds, but I assumed that they'd just improperly rounded 14.667. But no, the 14.6 was a correctly rounded percentage for 7/48. I wonder if I should write to Forsythe and let him know... Jameson
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