*India-China Factor in Asia*


The extent to which the leaders handling India-Sri Lanka affairs have
mishandled the situation is evident by the fact that whilst the entire
country is in agreement that India should have no piece of the peace
dividend, opening too many doors to India has left India demanding more
than it deserves and projecting itself as an aggrieved party for not been
given what it should not deserve in the first place. That damage needs to
be fixed by those responsible for creating the situation. Having brought
Sri Lanka down to the present scenario we have the only option of now
looking East and those who disagree may well like to reason out why India
should be given any key economic zones when it has been destabilizing Sri
Lanka.



China’s supremacy over Asia and perhaps the world is an undeniable fact.
>From this reality stems two scenarios – those that view China as a threat
and those that are ready to partner with China. The US who has been
regarded the sole influencer globally feels threatened and naturally so.
China’s approach has been laid back and hardly the bully approach that the
US has come to adapt. The dividends to China are inroads in both Asia and
Africa.



China borders 13 countries – 3 with whom they went to war. China is aware
that despite the West’s open promotion of “democratic” norms its actions
have proven quite the opposite. China is well aware that there are over
100,000 US troops stationed in North East Asia. If China had to contend
with a US-Japanese alliance (despite the US bombing Japan and the Japanese
continuing to suffer as a result of the 2 nuclear bombs), China is now
having to deal with a new US-India partnership against China. The distrust
has forced China to increase its military and economic capability making
them more assertive and less likely to cave in to western norms. The US has
managed to wriggle through India’s nationalist defenses and promote India
against China. India may easily bow its head to US dictates but it has
little pluck to go head on with China. The US is however doing its best to
spur India towards this objective. India’s reluctance to chide China for
its role in and around India’s borders is a clear example of India’s
immaturity at playing the role of any super power present or future.
Compliance does not have any hallmarks of an aspiring future leader.



Nevertheless, the US never puts its eggs in one basket and with India’s
borders all at conflict with the central government, the US is likely to be
considering the future of broken Indian independent states similar to that
of Russia and how best to use these states for its own geographical
advantage. These maneuvers obviously are been carried out by British
intelligence knowing exactly how to divide and rule. In the current
scenario however, India’s central government and Brahmin mentality remains
not only a threat to Asia but more of a threat to India itself. The Maino
family factor has done little to help nurture India’s Asian connection
either.



Whatever the US-India may plan, China’s objectives are clear – it will
continue to expand its own military and economic capabilities, it will
align with strategic partners that influence its sphere of influence, it
will ensure the nations that it partners have sufficient development in
return for the allegiance given – these options are far better than the
manner the pretentious partnership projected by the West where public pats
of approval are followed by underground covert operations to destabilize
these very friends!



China has 200 nuclear warheads located on the Tibetan plateau north of
India. India has around 60 nuclear warheads but has not fully weaponized
them. Besides, unknown to India, China has managed to swiftly encircle
India and it is obvious that China will use these nations as China’s
proxies against India if India attempts to push the Western agenda beyond
the level of tolerance. India’s multidirectional foreign policy will soon
result in its undoing.



In South Asia, China has the perfect alliance. All South Asian nations
share a common dislike for India’s bullying tactics and domineering
attitude forcing these nations to automatically seek redress in a new found
friend – China and China is ready to deliver. The chemistry works well.
With South Asian states aligning to China, India’s objectives in the region
are being shrunk. It is to Sri Lanka’s leaders to view the stakes against
the trend and we have nothing to really have any confidence in India to
remotely consider partnering with India when it is clear where our eggs
should go. It is pointless referring to human rights, democracy and what
not because no country follows any of these meaningless fancy notions
anyway especially the nations that coined them! Doesn’t terrorism exist
because the very countries that publicly bring laws to curb terrorism
supply arms to these very terrorists and uses these clichés to militarily
intervene in nations for economic and geographical advantage?



China’s circle of friends are expanding – it is a give and take scenario.
China has constructed Gwadar Port in Baluchistan which is in close
proximity to the Strait of Hormuz from which 40% of worlds oil supplies
pass. China has upgraded Myanmar’s ports (Mergui, Yangon, Bassein and
Sittwei). India is irked by China’s inroads into Irrawaddy Corridor.
Myanmar has a large coastal beltline along the Bay of Bengal which China is
using as a forward basing strategy. The Great Coco Islands are a
communication facility to China and just 45km away from India’s Andaman and
Nicobar Islands.



India is attempting to counter China by adopting a “look east” policy.
Launching the BIMSTEC Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical
and Economic Cooperation is a start to bridging South Asia and South East
Asia. India has also excluded China to start the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation
Forum with 5 countries placed along the Mekong River, with a highway that
runs through North East India, Myanmar to Thailand. China countered the
Mekong initiative by creating the Agreement on Commercial Navigation on
Lancang Mekong River with Myanmar, Thailand and Laos.



India is also attempting to usurp Sri Lanka’s role in unifying Buddhist
nations together. It is undeniably to Sri Lanka’s credit that it has kept
ties with Buddhist nations and it has done much to continue to forge ties
with these nations. India has no right to be using Buddhism which it
abandoned and forgot.



A country that was once a proud non-aligned nation has come to the present
scenario externally due to India and internally due to the lapses in
decision making of our own leaders. We are only too well aware how the West
did their utmost to continue terrorism in Sri Lanka, how late in the day
India discovered how Sri Lanka’s terrorism was really meant to destabilize
India though it was to India’s advantage to manipulate this knowledge to
cut out a stake for itself in Sri Lanka – it was the military assistance
given by China, Pakistan and Russia that helped Sri Lanka to create
history. We cannot forget this over shrewdly selective assistance by India
and the West. Ideally, China, Russia and Pakistan should be recipients of
our gratitude far more than India or the West and it is time our leaders
draw a clear line in doling out key economic stakes to India though it has
managed well to infiltrate into the Colombians who manipulate the news we
receive and the business stakes that has fallen to tatters leaving Sri
Lanka’s economy to be handed out to India through selfish local tycoons who
have no regard for the nation or its people except themselves.



* *

*Shenali Waduge*

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