Birds are Moving North TooDon,

The particular population in question may actually have a greater tolerance for 
climatic change than other species of trees in the area.  I am just arguing 
that the assumption they would be more tolerant because the species has a whole 
as a broader range is not valid.

Ed

“To the attentive eye, each moment of the year has its own beauty, and in the 
same field, it beholds, every hour, a picture which was never seen before, and 
which shall never be seen again” 
Ralph Waldo Emerson
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: DON BERTOLETTE 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 7:11 PM
  Subject: [ENTS] Re: Birds are Moving North Too


  Ed-
  I don't know if I fully grasped what you were saying, but I tend to agree 
with you up to a point.
  There are a few papers out on what I'd refer to as 'gradient analysis' where 
any given sample of a population is related to its range, or extent.  It is 
generally assumed that as the populations sampled get closer to the edge of the 
range, the more sensitive they will be to external changes in such 
environmental gradients as local/regional warming trends and local/regional 
moisture regimes.  
  That said, if the sub-populations do indeed have broader, more diverse 
genetics, and survive, that would be great, and they would be a great boon to 
silviculturists facing local/regional climate change. If they don't, then it's 
back to Mike's approach...nothing lost.
  -DOn


------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  From: [email protected]
  To: [email protected]
  Subject: [ENTS] Re: Birds are Moving North Too
  Date: Tue, 10 Feb 2009 15:43:39 -0500


  Mike and Don,

  I recognize that some trees have a wider geographical distribution than 
others that this represents a greater tolerance of environmental conditions for 
them as a species, but I am unsure if that directly corresponds to an 
individual of that species or a particular sub-population of that species being 
more tolerant than others in a particular area.  One proposition is not the 
logical extension of the other.  So managing to promote the increase of the 
numbers of these trees that are more tolerant of change as a species, may not 
really accomplish anything if the individual trees involved are not also more 
tolerant of change.  The questions are how much variation is there between 
differing populations of a species in different parts of it range, and could 
specimens from area of the populations range survive or flourish in the 
environmental conditions found in a different portion of the species range.  I 
don't know the answer, but I can't reasonably make the jump without any other 
evidence, that species with a broader range are made up of individual trees or 
subpopulations that are more tolerant of changing conditions.

  Ed

    ----- Original Message ----- 
    From: DON BERTOLETTE 
    To: [email protected] 
    Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 2:35 PM
    Subject: [ENTS] Re: Birds are Moving North Too


    Mike-
    True words!
    -Don


----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    From: [email protected]
    To: [email protected]
    Subject: [ENTS] Birds are Moving North Too
    Date: Tue, 10 Feb 2009 06:01:37 -0500


    See 
http://www.boston.com/news/science/articles/2009/02/10/amid_warming_birds_shift_north/
   

    Birds as well as trees and forests will slowly adapt to a warming planet or 
a cooling one too if that’s the case. 

    For us foresters, it makes sense to promote those mid tolerant to tolerant 
species that naturally tend to become dominants and codominants with a wide 
range.

    Around my neck of the woods that would be mostly red oak and white pine. We 
can make forests more adaptable to climate change by using the appropriate 
silviculture to increase the proportion of these more adaptable species while 
also trying to keep our forests as diverse as possible. 

    Man will adapt too; we always have. 

    Mike  






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