That's really interesting Don.  Being at the southern extent of the natural 
range of Tsuga canadensis here in Atlanta I wonder what the boundaries of their 
range were in years past (pre-Adelgid) and if they were truly native to places 
like old growth Fernbank Forest here in the city.  You're right though- there 
are many factors at play here, affecting many different facets in the 
ecosystem.  Kind of mind boggling to think about.
Eli

--- On Tue, 11/17/09, DON BERTOLETTE <[email protected]> wrote:


From: DON BERTOLETTE <[email protected]>
Subject: RE: [ENTS] Bristlecone Pines as signals of climate change
To: [email protected]
Date: Tuesday, November 17, 2009, 2:41 PM




Eli-
I think an even more interesting study would be gradient analyses of moisture, 
temperature, UV at the geographic extents of the bristlecones (lats, longs, 
elevations).
One of the questions posed in a ecological restoration class I took was "How 
will global climate change impact the geographic extents 
of _____________(choose a species)".  My choice was Quaking Aspen (Populus 
tremuloides) in Northern Arizona on San Francisco Peaks...I predicted that the 
aspen were somewhat less mobile, that they were likely to die out at lower 
elevations due to increased predation by forest pathogens with rising 
temperatures, and to stabilize at higher elevations. Lots more to it than that, 
but the idea is that it just takes a few degrees (in this case adiabatic 
temperature change) change to have significant impact on many facets of an 
ecosystem. When enough of those subtle 'facets' accumulate, major differences 
will be noticed. Particularly at the geographic extents, where the natural 
limits already in place get exceeded.
Attaching an image of bristlecones as they reach the edge of their 'ecotone'...
-Don 
 


Date: Tue, 17 Nov 2009 13:05:58 -0800
From: [email protected]
Subject: [ENTS] Bristlecone Pines as signals of climate change
To: [email protected]






Great article about how Bristlecone Pines near the treeline have grown more 
rapidly in the 2nd half of the 20th century than in any other 50 year period in 
the last 4600 years:
http://news.discovery.com/earth/oldest-trees-global-warming-growth.html
 
Eli

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