----- Original Message ----- From: "Lee Frelich" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, January 06, 2010 6:13 PM
Subject: Re: [ENTS] Impact of cold snap?


James:

I don't think so. Emerald ash borer survived last winters cold spell in Minnesota, which was much colder than the current cold spell. Temperatures of -15 to -20 F seem necessary to kill hemlock woolly adelgid. It might get that cold in MA, but it doesn't seem likely to get that cold in the Smokies. The current cold snap is being caused by the Arctic Oscillation, which has reached the most negative reading recorded (since recording began in the 1950s). It basically is a change in air pressure that squeezes the polar vortex in such a way that cold air bulges south in the eastern U.S. and western Europe, while Greenland is much warmer than normal. The opposite pattern occurs when the AO is positive.

Lee

JamesRobertSmith wrote:
Will this relatively long cold snap here in the South have an effect
on the insect pests that have been plaguing our forests during the
recent years of warm winters? Will it be enough to stunt or kill off
the populations of rampant native and introduce insect pests?

A question from an interested fan of this site: is the bulge of the polar vortex
a part of global warming? any relationship? We did study forestry in my geomorphology class, that got me interested in Old Growth Forests, (geography major) and backpacking enhanced my love of trees. Jean Kinsey

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