>From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Jeff Owens)
>Subject: [ecopath] Energy and Cities
>Date: Thu, 06 May 1999 07:46:33 -0700
>
>Energy and Cities
>
>I recieved a report from the Institute for Global Futures Research
>which looked at cities and sustainablility.  Unfortunatly it is
>copyrighted so all i can do is summarize its content.  One of the
>conclusions is that cities exist because of inexpensive energy.
>
>   A diagram showing the development of cities compared to
>   the global energy use can be found (in an article in
>   Swedish) at http://www.etn.lu.se/~folke_g/RURSV2.HTM
>
>The report does not go into conservation which tends to favor
>cities, so there is two sides to this question.  One point which
>is difficult to contest is that urban sprawl will be impacted.
>Today urban areas depend on frequent auto use and are not
>designed for food production.  They are heavy energy users
>and few nutriments are recycled.  It was suggested that
>phosphorus will be in short supply because nutriments are
>not recycled.
>
>I wonder if water might be a bigger problem than phosphorus.
>Possibly it would depend upon where the urban area was located.
>
>Anyway, the models suggested energy will begin impacting
>urban areas around 2010-2020.  The oil availability per
>person will begin to decline and we will begin the shift
>to other energy sources.
>
>The report argued that the US is accelerating this crisis by
>not taxing oil.  For example, the cost of gasoline around the
>world looks like this:
>
>Price of gasoline:    Australia    0.50
>                      Canada       0.41
>                      France       1.07
>                      India        0.72
>                      Japan        0.81
>                      Netherlands  1.21
>                      UK           1.23
>                      US           0.36
>
>  Source of information is:
>  <http://www.iea.org/stats/files/keystats/stats/p_0505.htm>
>
>Conclusions: The urban areas outside cities may be good
>places to avoid in the future.  And of course my favorite
>conclusion: the future will be strongly infulenced by energy,
>it will be useful to understand how it impacts our lives.
>
> ----------
>Jeff Owens ([EMAIL PROTECTED])  Zone 7, http://www.teleport.com/~kowens
> Underground house, solar energy, reduced consumption, no TV
>
>

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