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From: USIS Indonesia <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: Djoni Ferdiwijaya <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
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[C.R-D3E36037AEF4DCCB8888E82D9]   
Subject: New Report Warns of A Coming Decade of Super-Disasters  
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NEW REPORT WARNS OF A COMING DECADE OF SUPER-DISASTERS
(Last year's natural disasters worst on record) (480)
By Wendy Lubetkin
USIA European Correspondent

Geneva -- A new report warns that climate change, deforestation and overpopulation 
will make the next 10 years a "decade of super-disasters." 

The World Disasters Report 1999 is published by the International Federation of Red 
Cross and Red Crescent Societies, the world's largest emergency response network.  The 
federation is comprised of the 175 national Red Cross and Red Crescent member 
societies around the world.

"Everyone is aware of the environmental problems of global warming and deforestation 
on the one hand, and the social problems of increasing poverty and growing shanty 
towns on the other.  But when these two factors collide, you have a new scale of 
catastrophe," said Dr. Astrid Heiberg, president of the federation.

The federation said the number of people needing its assistance has increased by more 
than 10-fold over the past six years.  

Last year's season of natural disasters was the worst on record.  In 1998, natural 
disasters created more "refugees" than wars and conflict, the federation said.  
Hurricane Mitch, which dumped a year's rainfall on Central America in a few hours, 
left 10,000 people dead and 2.5 million temporarily dependent on aid.  

"The explosive combination of human-driven climate change and rapidly changing 
socio-economic conditions will set off chain reactions of devastation leading to 
super-disasters," the report said.  "The world is at risk as never before."

Climate change "will be manifested in a catalogue of disasters such as storms, 
droughts and flooding unparalleled in modern times," the report added.  "The main 
uncertainly is where and when they will occur." 
El Nino and La Nina -- dubbed the "deadly duo" by the report's authors -- brought 
worldwide epidemics, droughts, forest fires and floods, which claimed 21,000 lives.

The loss of natural vegetation, particularly forests, has become a major cause of 
preventable natural disasters around the world, the report noted. 
Deforestation in China's Yangtze basin contributed to the flooding that affected the 
lives of 180 million people, and the deforestation of the foothills in the northwest 
Himalayas caused landslides last August that killed more than 300 people in a week.

The havoc caused by Hurricane Mitch also underlines the vulnerability of  an 
"ecologically naked" landscape to extreme weather, the report said.   In Honduras and 
Nicaragua, Mitch hit denuded hillsides setting off huge landslides and mudflows that 
left nearly 10,000 people dead and 2.5 million temporarily dependent on aid.

The report also said that even as the number of natural disasters increases, access to 
insurance worldwide coverage is dropping.

Insurance companies fear the destructive effects of climate change could bankrupt the 
industry.  In 1992, the damage inflicted by Hurricane Andrew drained one-tenth of the 
industry's global reserves in one night.   Many insurance companies now refuse to 
cover the hurricane-ravaged Caribbean. 

-------
United States Information Service

Jalan Medan Merdeka Selatan 4 Jakarta 10110 
Telephone: (021)344-2211, Ext. 2566 Fax: (021)381-0243
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
USIS Homepage: http://www.usembassyjakarta.org



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