Gentlefolk,
<<  even a vague approximation to the shape of the curve is much better than 
trying to pretend it's flat. >>
     This is a fundamental for "fuzzy logic" of the sort that keeps video 
camera fields steady and many other things.  Interesting to see it come up in 
this context.
     Before putting a lot of effort into CD determination, suggest one run an 
ascent model with a range of assumptions (sensitivity analysis) to see how 
much difference it makes.  While it may be important to have a CD in, say, 
the 0.2 ballpark rather than 1.0, the difference between, say, theoretical 
values from 1.8 to 2.2 (combined with the uncertainty of the theory) may not 
justify the effort to model it so accurately.  If you show yourself so 
marginal to orbit that it makes a difference, resources for that level of 
accuracy may then become justified.  But, more likely, you'll either be much 
shorter than that or ;-) much better, and it will be a payload mass issue 
later on.
    I think the domed bottom of the Shuttle ET came first from 
mass/structural reasons with detailed analytical explanations of why they 
could leave it that way afterwards--along with, of course, wind tunnel tests 
to be sure.

--Best, Gerald

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