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Asteroid Flyby Of Earth August 18

SPACERby Tony Phillips
for NASA Space Science
Huntsville - Jul 31, 2002
A big space rock will soon come so close to Earth that sky watchers can see 
it through binoculars. But relax, there's no danger of a collision, but it 
will be close enough to see through binoculars: a big space rock, not far 
from Earth.
Astronomers discovered the nearby asteroid, named 2002 NY40--not to be 
confused with better-known 2002 NT7--on July 14th. It measures about 800 
meters across, and follows an orbit that ranges from the asteroid belt to the 
inner solar system. On August 18th, the asteroid will glide past our planet 
only 1.3 times farther away than the Moon.
"Flybys like this happen every 50 years or so," says Don Yeomans, the manager 
of NASA's Near-Earth Object Program office at JPL. The last time (that we 
know of) was August 31, 1925, when another 800-meter asteroid passed by just 
outside the Moon's orbit. In those days there were no dedicated asteroid 
hunters--the object, 2001 CU11, wasn't discovered until 77 years later. At 
the time of the flyby, no one even knew it was happening.
2002 NY40 is different. We know the asteroid is coming, and astronomers have 
time to prepare.
One team of observers led by Mike Nolan at the giant Arecibo radar in Puerto 
Rico will "ping" 2002 NY40 with radio waves as it approaches Earth. Such data 
result in impressive 3D maps of asteroids, which have often surprised 
astronomers with their weird shapes. Some prove to be binary systems (one 
space rock orbiting another) and one even looks like a dog bone.
"Radar data will also improve our knowledge of the asteroid's orbit," adds 
Jon Giorgini, a member of the radar team from JPL. "At present, we know 
there's little risk of a collision with 2002 NY40 for decades. When the 
Arecibo radar measurements are done, the orbit uncertainties should shrink by 
more than a factor of 200. We'll be able to extrapolate the asteroid's motion 
hundreds of years into the past and into the future, too."
2002 NY40 is faint now. It shines by reflected sunlight like a 17th magnitude 
star. As it nears Earth, however, the space rock will brighten, soaring to 
9th magnitude on August 18th. That's about 16 times dimmer than the dimmest 
star you can see without a telescope. But as asteroids go, it's very bright.
"Asteroids are hard to see," explains Yeomans, "because they're mostly black 
like charcoal. The most common ones--carbon-rich C-type asteroids--reflect 
only 3% to 5% of the light that hits them. Metallic asteroids, which are 
somewhat rare, reflect more: 10% to 15%."
"We don't know yet what this asteroid is made of," he continued, "but we'll 
have a much better idea by the end of August." Astronomers using ground-based 
telescopes will have little trouble recording the asteroid's spectrum and 
thus its composition.
On the date of closest approach, the asteroid will sail past Vega, the 
brightest star in the evening summer sky. Sky watchers with powerful 
binoculars or small telescopes can see it--a speck of light moving 8 degrees 
per hour. (Note: The flyby will be visible mostly from Earth's northern 
hemisphere; this is not a good opportunity for southern sky watchers. North 
Americans can see it best after sunset on Aug. 17th; Europeans should look 
during the hours before dawn on Aug. 18th.)
Something extraordinary will happen hours after 2002 NY40 passes Earth: the 
space rock will quickly fade.
Asteroids, like moons and planets, have phases. The sunlit side of 2002 NY40 
is facing Earth now. It's full, like a full Moon. On August 18th, the 
asteroid will cross Earth's orbit on its way toward the Sun. Then the phase 
of the asteroid will change--from full to gibbous to half.... finally the 
night side will turn to face Earth. The asteroid will grow dark, like a new 
Moon.
It's not every day you can peer through binoculars and see a near-Earth 
asteroid--and then see it disappear. But 2002 NY40 has a lot to offer.
"Mother Nature is making it very easy for us to study this one," says 
Yeomans. That's good because "we need to know more about near-Earth asteroids 
in case we ever need to destroy or deflect one." What are they made of? How 
are asteroids put together? These are key questions that 2002 NY40 will help 
answer.
"Don't forget," adds Yeomans, "most asteroids pose no threat to Earth. But 
they do contain valuable metals, minerals and even water that we might tap in 
the future." When such asteroids come close (but not too close!) we have 
relatively easy access to them--both to study and, one day perhaps, to visit.
Or, to paraphrase Nietzsche, asteroids (like 2002 NY40) that do not hit us, 
make us stronger.
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