Singapore having an EV fleet is a  “no-brainer”

http://www.eco-business.com/opinion/can-singapore-electrify-world/
Can Singapore 'electrify' the world?
By Kishore Mahbubani  23 October 2013

[image  
http://www.eco-business.com/media/uploads/ebmedia/fileuploads/shutterstock_146626955_news_featured.jpg
Singapore can create a new chapter in world history by becoming the first
country in the world not to have petrol-fuelled engines on the road. Image:
Shutterstock
]

Singapore as an electric vehicle nation

Singapore’s great weakness is that it is an absurdly small nation.
Paradoxically, one great strength of Singapore is that it is an absurdly
small nation. Hence, Singapore can try things out on a national scale that
few other nations can dream about.

Let me suggest one such bold national project. Let Singapore become the
first country in the world to have an all-electric fleet of vehicles: cars,
trucks, taxis, buses, etc. Singapore can create a new chapter in world
history by becoming the first country in the world not to have
petrol-fuelled engines on the road. And why should Singapore do this? There
will be at least three massive benefits from doing so.
Healthier population

First, Singaporeans will breathe much cleaner air. Without petrol and diesel
engines, there will be much less carbon monoxide, nitrous oxide, particulate
matter and other pollutants in the air. As a result, I have no doubt that
the health of Singaporeans will improve. There will be fewer instances of
asthmatic attacks, and incidents of cancer may also go down. Singapore will
also become the quietest city in the world.

Economists have not yet established simple and easy ways of measuring such
“positive externalities” that will flow from an all-electric fleet in
Singapore. Yet, there is no doubt that the environment will improve
massively. Singaporeans will become a happier nation and Singapore will
become an ever more attractive destination for the best global talent.
(Oops, maybe I shouldn’t say this!)

Second, Singapore would be positioning itself for the day when a global
carbon tax or emissions trading system is introduced.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) just
released its latest climate change report. The evidence is now irrefutable.
Human activity, especially in the form of greenhouse gas emissions, is
warming the planet.

    “For the few Singaporeans who insist on having status symbols like
Maseratis, Ferraris and Lamborghinis, I would like to strongly recommend the
Tesla, the environmentally friendly status symbol.

Many countries will suffer the negative effects of rising sea levels and
bouts of extreme weather. Singapore will be one of the biggest losers if the
worst-case scenario unfolds. While Singapore is too small to make a large
difference to climate change mitigation efforts, an all-electric fleet would
help us deal with a global carbon tax, thus boosting national
competitiveness.

Delay climate change

By creating an all-electric transportation system, Singapore can help to
delay climate change. How? Singapore’s behaviour alone will not make a
massive difference. But bear in mind that the Asian middle-class population
is about to explode, from about 500 million now to 1.75 billion by 2020. If
these new middle-class citizens begin buying petrol-burning cars, the planet
will be literally, not metaphorically, fried. Clearly, some powerful
examples will be needed to demonstrate that the world would be better off
not buying petrol-burning cars. By going all-electric, Singapore will act as
a key catalytic agent to help to prevent global warming.

The manufacture of electric cars emits more carbon than that of traditional
vehicles because of the energy-intensive methods used to mine, smelt and
process the iron, lithium and rare earth elements that go into the batteries
and other components of electric cars. But studies have shown that electric
vehicles make up for this by having much lower carbon emissions when they
are in use.

Most of Singapore’s electricity is generated from natural gas, a relatively
clean fossil fuel. Using electric cars will result in an effective 66 per
cent reduction of carbon emissions in comparison with petrol- and
diesel-powered cars.

Cars as status symbols

The third benefit of creating an all-electric fleet is that it will help to
reduce the obsession with cars as a status symbol, as electric cars will
simply be seen as functional vehicles to get from point A to point B. For
the few Singaporeans who insist on having status symbols like Maseratis,
Ferraris and Lamborghinis, I would like to strongly recommend the Tesla, the
environmentally friendly status symbol. By moving to an all-electric fleet,
we shift the status competition in Singapore away from having the most
powerful and fastest cars to having the most environmentally friendly ones.
So who should lead the charge to convert Singapore’s car fleet into an
all-electric one? I think I know what is going on in the mind of any
Singaporean who is reading this sentence. Every Singaporean will expect the
Government to take the lead. Unfortunately, this is the wrong answer. If the
Government tries a top-down strategy, there will be a lot of resistance. The
only way such a massive change can take place smoothly is for it to be a
bottom-up initiative.

New developmental approach

Indeed, as Singapore approaches the 50th anniversary of its independence and
Singaporeans ponder on the next 50 years, the country should consider a
major change of approach to the future development of the country. Singapore
has been extraordinarily successful in our first 50 years because of a
remarkable number of government-initiated policies. Let me just cite
Singapore Airlines, Changi Airport, PSA, and the Singapore Newater story as
a few examples. None of these were citizen initiatives.

However, for the next 50 years, we will need a balance of government-led and
citizen-led initiatives. Making Singapore the first electric vehicle nation
should be the first citizen-led initiative in the nation’s history.

Anyone who thinks that a single citizen cannot make a significant difference
should look at the record of Tesla Motors and its chief executive Elon Musk.
Mr Musk is giving a personal guarantee (including with his personal money)
that the Tesla will retain as much second-hand value as the equivalent
Mercedes.

Even more astoundingly, he has begun building charging stations so that you
can drive from Los Angeles to New York in a Tesla. If you can drive across a
large country like the United States in an electric vehicle, it is surely
possible to do so in Singapore. No charging station in Singapore will be
more than a few kilometres away. In fact, charging stations could even be
installed in private parking lots and driveways.

The Government can help by creating an infrastructure that supports electric
vehicles. It could also provide tax and other benefits. Currently, because
of the high cost of electric vehicle batteries, such cars cost more, thus
placing the vehicle in a higher tax bracket than cheaper but less
environmentally friendly cars.

Even the recently introduced Carbon Emissions-Based Vehicle Scheme does not
offset the higher costs. Sadly, Tesla had to close its dealership in
Singapore without selling a single fully electric car after less than a year
because it was not able to receive “green tax benefits” from the Government.

But the benefits that would flow from the creation of an all-electric fleet
would be far greater than the tax revenues that the Government stands to
lose in giving out tax benefits.

In short, it is a “no-brainer” for Singapore to become the first country in
the world with an all-electric vehicle fleet. No other country can do it as
easily as Singapore.

The benefits in all dimensions – environmental, health, social – will far
outweigh any costs. Indeed, I cannot think of any real cost to making the
change. So the big question is: Which citizen of Singapore will stand up and
take the lead? If the movement succeeds, it will “electrify” both Singapore
and the world. The hour has come. Let the right man or woman stand up and
lead the movement.

Kishore Mahbubani is dean of the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy,
National University of Singapore. He drives a hybrid vehicle.This piece has
been published with his permission.
[© Eco-Business 2009—2013]




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