Cheaper low-speed EVs> 200k sales growth in China in 2013

http://www.ecns.cn/business/2014/01-11/96543.shtml
New-energy vehicles 'turning the corner'
2014-01-11  by Wang Fan

[image  
http://www.ecns.cn/business/2014/01-11/U363P886T1D96543F12DT20140111103252.jpg
The EK-2 electric car, which was developed by the Zhejiang-based Geely
Group, is shown at an auto show in Beijing. Sales of electric and hybrid
vehicles are expected to reach 60,000 to 80,000 units this year in China.
Chen Ming / For China Daily
]

Industry may experience explosive growth in two years, says observer

The domestic alternative-fuel vehicle industry has reached a turning point
and is on track for rapid development in the next two or three years, said
experts.

Ye Shengji, deputy secretary-general of the China Association of Automobile
Manufacturers, forecast that sales of electric and hybrid electric vehicles
in China will reach 60,000 to 80,000 units this year.

Ye made the remark at the 2013 Global New Energy Vehicle Conference, which
began on Thursday in Haikou, capital of Hainan province.

Figures released by the CAAM on Thursday showed that while overall auto
sales hit nearly 22 million units in 2013, only 17,642 were new-energy
vehicles, including 14,604 electric cars and 3,038 plug-in hybrids.

A new round of subsidies announced by the central government in September
are driving the expectations for rapid growth. One key component of the
subsidy plan is that "outside" brands must account for at least 30 percent
of the new-energy car sales in each pilot city.

The Chinese market for alternative-fuel vehicles has been highly fragmented
because of strong local protectionism, which greatly hindered the
development of the industry, said Pan Xiaofeng, managing director of GSR
Ventures, a venture capital fund that invests primarily in early- and
growth-stage technology companies with substantial operations in China.

"For investors, it's a tough time to make investment decisions, but it's
also a good time to enter the market, as the industry may experience
explosive growth in 2016 and 2017," said Pan.

Apart from electric buses and taxis, he said he anticipates an increase in
low-speed, small electric cars (which are usually used for short-range
driving) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles.

In recent years, low-speed small electric cars have seen strong growth in
China, with sales reaching 200,000 in 2013, according to Pang Yicheng, chief
executive officer of website D1EV, which offers information and trading
services for new-energy vehicles.

However, low-speed small electric cars are not recognized by the central
government as new-energy vehicles because of safety and environmental
concerns. Industry experts have varied opinions on the safety and pollution
aspects of such vehicles, which are mostly powered by lead-acid batteries.

Production and sales of such cars have been rising - and their quality has
been improving - in provinces such as Shandong, Jiangsu and Hebei, thanks to
support from local authorities.

Fang Jianhua, general manager of Hefei Guaoxuan High-tech Power Energy Co
Ltd, said there must be breakthroughs in urban public transportation,
logistics vehicles and passenger cars.

"It is commonly believed that immature battery technologies, high prices and
lack of charging facilities are major bottlenecks for the promotion of
electric vehicles. But I think the real problem is the stakeholders' mindset
and interests," said Fang.

He noted that many top executives of State-owned vehicle companies are under
huge pressure to pursue growth and are attracted to the high profits
generated by conventional vehicles. Therefore, they are reluctant to make
huge investments in electric cars.

Pan pointed out that similar problems have occurred at the local government
level.

"The biggest challenge to the progress of new-energy vehicles is whether
local authorities decide to make changes and how much they will open the
market to non-local companies," said Pan.
[© 2013 Chinanews.com]




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