I also have 180Ah CALB SE (blue) cells. 32k miles, 4 1/2 years, over 1k
cycles, no noticeable change in range (but no quantitative discharge to
measure capacity with powerlab8 or similar). Still can drive about 75 miles
mixed highway/city.  I first had a defective bms, then no bms, then minibms
without shunts, then with shunts for the last 3 years or so.  Bottom
balanced when I had no bms.   During most of that time I charged to around
3.45V (on my lowest capacity cell when bb'ed). More recently I've changed to
an EMW charger and been charging to 3.5V average so the charger enters the
CV phase reliably at the spec'ed 0.3C charge current, decreasing current to
the spec'ed 0.05C. 

Although I am now charging cells to higher voltage, the cell rest voltages
after charge are now a bit lower than they used to be when charging at lower
currents with the Manzanita - something David N. pointed out as a possible
issue long ago (overcharging if you continue charging for some time at low
discharge currents when cell voltages are near the spec'ed "full charge"
value). The spec'ed max cell voltage during charge is only for the spec'ed
0.05C final charge current in the CV phase.  A "full charge" will be reached
at different cell voltages at different currents.

I think Jukka's seat belt analogy is apt. If you get a good quality
well-matched group of cells and are careful and disciplined in
charging/discharging them they will likely last a long time, bms or no.  I
think David N's pack with a "batt bridge" monitor is a good example of the
latter, as well as some others.  And I think it is likely that most cells
fit in this category.  But if you are unlucky and have a cell fail, or a
charger fail to shut off, you may have a disaster if you don't have a bms
with LVC and HVC, or are carefully monitoring with something like the batt
bridge (to detect cell failure), or have a JLD or voltage triggered relay
(for the failed charger case).  Different approaches can work, depending on
how diligent you are.

I also agree with Jukka's other comment regarding new people.  That is a
critical time, when you don't know what you are doing, have no experience
and understanding from repeated measurements on your cells.  That's when you
can easily drive a little further than you should and over discharge a cell
in a tb pack, or set up your Manzanita charger incorrectly and over-charge
your lowest capacity cell in a bottom balanced pack.  Or maybe you didn't
initially balance the cells as well as you thought you did so although your
charger shuts off at the spec'ed voltage per cell, it overcharges your
lowest capacity cell or cells, and you don't detect it because you have no
bms and don't want to take the time to check cell V's with a dvm near end of
charge.  The minibms HVC saved me a couple times during charging when I
didn't have the limit voltage set appropriately on my Manzanita charger.  I
have never had a problem with over-discharge as I have never taken the pack
below about 28% SoC, and usually just to 35 - 50% SoC, as there is usually
no need to take it lower. 

What we are seeing in these failures may be luck of the draw - a minority
got some weak or defective cells. At least Al could see things were going to
hell thanks to the Elithion bms.



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