http://www.policyinnovations.org/ideas/commentary/data/00355
It’s Time for a U.S.-Canada Electric Auto Pact
By Jim Burpee, John Haffner | May 28, 2015

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Oil has served us well. There is no denying how it has powered so many
extraordinary advances in human civilization. But as a former oil minister
for Saudi Arabia observed in 2000, "The Stone Age came to an end, not
because we had a lack of stones, and the oil age will come to an end not
because we have a lack of oil."

It's time for governments—particularly the U.S. and Canadian governments—to
get behind electric vehicles (EVs). The Canada-U.S. auto pact of 1965 was a
major milestone, setting the stage for free trade in the 1980s and later the
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Fifty years later, it is time
for a renewed vision for Canada-U.S. automotive cooperation.

Below we offer three arguments in favor of EVs and a U.S.-Canada Electric
Auto Pact, followed by three actions governments should take to support
accelerated deployment of EVs.

Four Benefits
First, electric drive motors are far more efficient than internal combustion
engines (ICEs). The second law of thermodynamics tells us that that some
energy will be lost in any energy conversion process. By dividing the energy
output from the energy input for each of electric drive motors and internal
combustion engines, we can calculate their respective efficiencies. And the
contrast is dramatic: electric motors powered by batteries tend to be 85
percent efficient, whereas internal combustion engines are about 30 percent
(the energy loss is almost all heat). And that is not the whole story.
Internal combustion engines run at 30 percent efficiency while driving, but
are 0 percent efficient when idling, whereas the electric drive never
idles—it turns off. Conventional hybrid vehicles improve efficiency by
almost eliminating idling through regenerative breaking and by using
electric drive at low speeds, but their maximum efficiency is still capped
by the limits of ICEs.

Second, EVs can help support optimization of the electricity grid. Whether
through batteries or fuel cells (fuel cells combine hydrogen and oxygen to
produce electricity), EVs can act as storage for electricity that is
produced but not needed at the time of production (often at night), and then
bid resources back into the grid when required (often in the daytime). Their
added storage capacity will help smooth the integration of intermittent
resources like wind and solar, and enhance the use of wires that are usually
loaded at less than their peak capacity. A California utility, San Diego Gas
& Electric, now has a promising pilot underway along these lines.

As the Canadian Electricity Association points out in its paper Vision 2050:
The Future of Canada's Electricity System:

    A family could plug in their electric car to the grid to charge
overnight, and then during the day, deliver solar power (from a home
installation) back to the grid . . . The utility company could even
potentially access the power available in their idle electric car (if the
customer grants this option in advance) to meet peak demand under certain
conditions, so that the vehicle also acts as a form of electricity storage.
Together these represent a completely different way to think about
electricity flows.

Third, optimized grids, as supported in part by electric vehicles, offer one
other benefit: they will help strengthen grid reliability and resilience. In
the Northeastern United States, as a result of Hurricane Sandy,
micro-grids—grids that can operate autonomously—are being developed to
ensure that core emergency response services will be available even in the
event of catastrophic loss of the grid.

Lastly, If we are to have any hope of mitigating climate change, we will
need to accelerate dramatic reductions in carbon emissions. Since electric
vehicles will reduce overall energy consumption in our economy as well as
replace high-emitting sources with lower ones, electric vehicles could make
a significant contribution to this effort.

In the North American context, the average Canadian electron is cleaner than
the average U.S. one. In the United States, roughly 67 percent of
electricity is generated from fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and
petroleum); in Canada, by contrast, 79 percent of electricity is from
non-emitting electricity sources—"one of the highest percentages in the
world"—including more than 63 percent from hydroelectricity.

For both the United States and Canada, the carbon intensity of the
electricity sector is likely to decrease over time as older, less efficient
fossil resources are retired and replaced with lower-emitting resources. Yet
carbon reductions from transportation can be made much easier if additional
Canadian electricity, especially from abundant hydroelectric resources, is
deployed for this purpose. On the generation side, demand reductions from
conservation (e.g. LED lighting) could be reallocated to EVs—a repurposing
of some generation capacity from the residential and commercial sectors to
transportation. In addition, power utilities in Canada could develop power
projects for export to the United States. Long-term power purchase
agreements as part of an electric auto pact could help facilitate and
underwrite such projects. On the wires side, meanwhile, the opportunity is
to make full use of existing wires infrastructure by managing how and when
EVs are charged.

Already Canada and the United States trade electricity back and forth as
part of an integrated North American grid—an often overlooked, highly
complex shared system across our borders, a system that the U.S. National
Academy of Engineering has called the ". . . supreme engineering achievement
of the 20th century." Our fates are already intertwined for reliability and
for quality of life. A commitment to build additional clean power to meet
electricity demand from the transportation sector would be a worthwhile
extension of this shared achievement. There will also be a need for auto
parts and charging stations as part of the new infrastructure, and
manufacturing could take place in both Canada and the United States.
Electric vehicles powered significantly from Canadian clean electricity
could be a major carbon mitigation measure and economic stimulus for both
countries at the same time.

Three Policy Measures
Global trends for EVs are encouraging: sales are increasing, and battery
costs are dropping. Tesla and BMW are adding brand cachet, and Apple is
rumored to be entering the game. The Electric Vehicles Initiative, a policy
forum of 16 member governments including Canada and the United States, is
aiming to support deployment of 20 million EVs worldwide by 2020, including
hybrid and fuel cell vehicles.

Even so, an accelerated shift towards EVs will not occur without clear
policy direction and support. There are three actions that governments could
take in support of EVs and their broader benefits.

First, governments should support EV infrastructure. Whether through direct
charging or hydrogen fueling stations (which will take electricity), EVs
need to be integrated with the grid so they can store energy and optimize
flows. Governments can ensure that electricity regulation facilitates
integration of vehicle charging.

Second, governments can lead by example through procurement of EVs as part
of the turnover of their own fleets. In 2014, a coalition of San Francisco
Bay-area government agencies bought a total of 90 electric vehicles, in what
was described as the "largest government fleet deployment in the United
States to date." If 90 is the record so far in the United States, there is
plenty of room for governments to have a larger impact through their
procurement policies.

Finally, governments need to price carbon (we favor taxation), and on the
flip side, reduce or eliminate support for fossil fuel exploration and
production (subsidies, tax deferrals, etc.). In the language of economics,
pollution of the atmosphere through carbon emissions, and the resulting
threat to our planet, is a "negative externality," and a carbon price is a
way of remedying this market failure, of internalizing this externality.
Doing so would send a clear signal to the market and thereby spur innovation
across the entire value chain of low or zero carbon technologies. The market
for electric vehicles has already gone through early growing pains and
achieved a stage of maturity; it is poised for growth. A carbon price would
accelerate the rate at which it builds out appropriate infrastructure and
achieves scale.

An Electric Auto Pact
The potential advantages of EVs are clear: efficiency gains, grid resource
optimization, and large carbon reductions. Just as Canada and the United
States ought to be working towards a common carbon policy, so we should
develop an interconnected North American infrastructure for electric
vehicles. Canada's electricity system is well-positioned to provide green
electrons, while both Canada and the United States could enjoy a
manufacturing boost. The Keystone oil pipeline debate in the United States
and Canada is missing the point that there is a better opportunity for
energy cooperation between our two countries where it makes more sense to
focus our attention and resources. 
[© 2015 Policy Innovations]



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