https://www.designnews.com/batteryenergy-storage/last-mile-million-mile-battery-or-first/47515796863203

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Is this Last Mile for the Million-Mile Battery? Or the First?

Announcements from Tesla and CATL show that long-lived, cobalt-free and 
competitively priced EV and grid/home batteries may finally have arrived.

By: John Blyler https://www.designnews.com/author/john-blyler
https://www.designnews.com/sustainability

June 17, 2020

The much discussed 1 million mile (1.6 million kilometers) battery may now be a 
reality. As the name suggests, these batteries would last for 1 million miles 
without breaking down. Tesla, along with China-based Contemporary Amperex 
Technology (CATL), have announced such a battery that not only lasts longer but 
also costs less than $100/kWh and uses cobalt-free materials. Why are these two 
features important?

It has long been a metric for the success of electronic vehicles (EV) that 
their battery energy density be on parity with traditional gasoline-powered 
engines. Such a condition would allow EVs to compete with gasoline vehicles on 
both weight and range – especially the latter. This means that, if gasoline is 
100 times more energy-dense than a battery, that a vehicle would need 100 lbs 
of battery to go as far as 1-lb of gasoline.

But past studies by the Argonne National Labs 
https://www.sae.org/publications/technical-papers/content/2016-01-0903/ have 
shown that system efficiency is another key consideration when comparing EV and 
gasoline energy densities. The research lab noted that electric powertrains are 
far more efficient than powertrains powered by gasoline. In many cases, less 
than 20% of the energy contained in a gallon of gas actually gets converted to 
forward motion. After that power has been transmitted through a transmission 
and differential to the wheels, it would have suffered significantly more 
mechanical losses. By contrast, an electric powertrain can be more than 90% 
efficient. This would suggest that the energy density of an EV battery could be 
far less than equivalent to a gasoline-powered vehicle and still come out ahead.

Let’s go back to the Tesla-CATL announcement of a 1 million mile, $100/kWh 
battery. This is a significant improvement in an accelerated trend in battery 
improvements. Last December 2019, Bloomberg New Energy Finance 
https://about.bnef.com/blog/behind-scenes-take-lithium-ion-battery-prices/ 
(BNEF) released the results of its 2019 Battery Price Survey, finding that 
industry-weighted average battery pack prices fell to $156 per kWh. This drop 
represented a 13% decrease over the 2018 average ($180/kWh, when adjusted for 
inflation), and BNEF foresees cost reductions continuing, with $100/kWh 
potentially being reached by 2023. But it would now appear that the $100/kWh 
battery may already be here in 2020!

There is another benefit to these long-lived batteries especially for the Tesla 
company. Even after a full life inside a Tesla EV, which have an average life 
of 200,000 miles, the battery can hypothetically be resold or recycled for use 
on a Tesla battery farm or home (Powerwall) system. Such reuse potentially 
means that EV companies can lease the batteries to car owners and bring down 
the costs of ownership to be on par with traditional gasoline-powered vehicles.

Lastly, let’s look at the importance of making EV batteries free from cobalt 
materials. Most of today’s EVs run on lithium-ion batteries made with heavy 
metals like cobalt, which are in limited supply and require less than ideal 
mining conditions. Further, cobalt batteries tend to catch on fire.

The move to cobalt-free batteries has been the focus of many research firms. 
For example, the IBM Research Battery Lab 
https://www.ibm.com/blogs/research/2019/12/heavy-metal-free-battery/ has 
recently developed a new battery built without heavy metals. It's made, 
instead, with materials that can be extracted from seawater. According to IBM, 
the new design could outperform current lithium-ion batteries in cost, charging 
time (less than five minutes to reach an 80 percent charge), power density and 
energy efficiency. The battery is also less flammable, and it could be used in 
aircraft, EVs and smart energy grids.

Returning to the earlier announcement, CATL said it is ready to begin 
manufacturing a cobalt-free battery that will last for 16 years and power an EV 
for 2 million kilometers (1.24 million miles), according to a report by South 
China Morning Post. 
https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3087952/million-mile-battery-china-could-power-your-electric-car
 Naturally, other companies have been pursuing cobalt-free batteries. For 
example, the battery unit of Great Wall Motors China – known as SVOLT – 
recently announced that their new cobalt-free battery is guaranteed to work for 
15 years or up to 1.2 million kilometers, close to a million miles.

At least one senior analysist in the energy sector – Peter Kelly-Detwiler, 
Principal at NorthBridge Energy Partners, LLC - is not surprised about the CATL 
announcement. When asked by Design News, he noted that the company had a large 
number of scientists with advanced degrees in materials science that have been 
focused on advanced battery technologies.

“Either way, this announcement is very good news for the industry and for the 
grid,” explained Kelly-Detwiler. “All of those batteries are likely to outlast 
the car and need a second home - literally!”

With all of these benefits, the cobalt-free, 1 million-mile, cost competitive 
EV and potentially reusable EV batteries should usher in a new era for 
energy-based technology and markets. Perhaps this is one reason why several 
major oil companies are investing heavily in renewable energies such as wind 
and solar, which will only increase the need for long-lasting and cheaper 
energy storage devices like batteries. 
https://www.designnews.com/content/talk-lithium-expert/82024188259151

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John Blyler is a Design News senior editor, covering the electronics and 
advanced manufacturing spaces. With a BS in Engineering Physics and an MS in 
Electrical Engineering, he has years of hardware-software-network systems 
experience as an editor and engineer within the advanced manufacturing, IoT and 
semiconductor industries. John has co-authored books related to system 
engineering and electronics for IEEE, Wiley, and Elsevier.

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Len Moskowitz
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