Gas in California is 4-5 bucks a gallon.  If you don't like my math it s easy 
to Google your own numbers. I suspect I am pretty close. You have got to know 
there are people that spend their whole life making sure we stay addicted to 
fossil fuels. Same people make sure we can afford big Mac s. Get a farm, get 
solar and avoid the whole thing. Lawrence Rhodes






> I divided the total subsides by the gallons of diesel and gas used? in the
> United States and got $3.76. That would put gas at 8 dollars a gallon.

For one thing, I can't figure out where you got $8.  Up the road here the 
filling stations are charging $3.10 per gallon, and the national average is 
$3.20  - so $6.96?  

That's only about a buck more per gallon than the current gasoline price in 
France ($1.55 per liter). Despite the automakers' efforts, French folk, 
along with other Europeans, still tend to buy smaller vehicles than here.  
Meanwhile EVs are showing triple-digit percentage sales gains (169% last I 
read) year-on-year there.  

So ... sounds good!  Oh, wait, Americans generally aren't very rational in 
their vehicle choices.  They buy what the automakers advertise and what the 
dealers push.  Never mind; carry on.

I also doubt that the effect on fuel prices is as easy to derive as "divide 
the petro-welfare by gallons sold."

I'm neither a petroleum specialist nor an economist, but IMO it's likely 
that petro-welfare takes many different forms - tax incentives for 
exploration, credits for depletion of reserves, and so on.  Some probably 
affect the compamies' profits (and thus their prices) long term, others 
short term; some more, some less.  

And Paul is right; oil is a worldwide business.  It seems to me (again, I'm 
not an economist) that if the US tax situation becomes less favorable to the 
oil companies, they'll simply (on paper) move their businesses to a more 
generous nation.  The recent G20 agreement on minimum corporate taxes is 
supposed to somewhat reduce corporations' ability to run to their mamas, but 
my bet is that it will be, shall we say, unevenly implemented.

Besides, the oily crowd will just throw  their brib ... er, I mean lobbying 
money at politicians who'll reject or, if necessary, repeal those changes 
and agreements.  Simultaneously both the oil companies and the pols will 
work their propaganda outlets to spin any diminution of petro-welfare as 
"the biggest middle class tax hike in 100 years" and "SOCIALISM!1!!" 

So don't hold your breath waiting for US gasoline at $6 a gallon, let alone 
$8 or $12. 

David Roden, EVDL moderator & general lackey

To reach me, don't reply to this message; I won't get it.  Use my 
offlist address here : http://evdl.org/help/index.html#supt

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    been fooled. 

                                                  -- Mark Twain
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