> And there's the proof of my above statement. > Wei Dai has previously argued that the 'quantum suicide' crowd >really just had a weird sense of morality regarding measure, rather than a >wrong view of the math. I think the above proves that not to be the case: >since Higgo now thinks that being old would be evidence of QTI, that >proves that he does believe that the predictions of QTI would not be the >standard predictions of QM as Wei and I understand it. > I find it incredible that Higgo can state that being old would be >statistical evidence for QTI, since one would not expect that without >QTI, but still not realize that being young is statistical evidence >against it. Jacques, I agree with James. 1) if you find yourself very old, this is no rigorous evidence for any theory. However you should choose the explanation following the maximum of likelihood criterium, i.e. the theory in which the probability of being very old in some world is maximum. This probability if 1 in MWI, and very tiny in conventional QM. So the fact of being very old should be considered as a very strong, although not absolute, evidence for MWI. In the same way, the thousands of experimental confirmations of QM are very strong pieces of evidence for QM, but not rigorous proofs (which do not exist). 2) Predictions of MWI, and thus QTI, are NOT the same as with standard QM. They are very close to it as long as you restrict yourself to events which you are actually surviving, which is the case of all known experimental confirmations of QM of course. 2) The fact of being young is not a statistical evidence against QTI, because the number (or the measure) of worlds where you are young is actually much larger than that where you are old. If you choose randomly a point between the x axis and the exponential curve y=exp(-x), most of your points will lie at x of the order of 1, although there exist an infinite number of points with x as large as you want. If you think that being young is statistical evidence against it, you should also think that your existing is a statistical evidence against MWI, because the measure of worlds where you do not exist is much larger.
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