ERRATA I am sorry. I guess I was a bit flighty with my post yesterday.
DON'T READ: >In experiment A, one box is put in *paradise* and 999 999 are put in >*hell*. >In experiment B, one box is put in *hell* and 999 999 are put in >*paradise*. > >(I suppose also that the different places in *hell* (resp. *paradise*) >are distinctibles. Let us call that the DISTINCT hypothesis) > >What will you choose ? > >I would answer: if for some reason I know I will never open the door, I > don't care and I can choose between A and B randomly. If I know I WILL >open the door then I choose A. BUT READ (the only change is the last letter): >In experiment A, one box is put in *paradise* and 999 999 are put in >*hell*. >In experiment B, one box is put in *hell* and 999 999 are put in >*paradise*. > >(I suppose also that the different places in *hell* (resp. *paradise*) >are distinctibles. Let us call that the DISTINCT hypothesis) > >What will you choose ? > >I would answer: if for some reason I know I will never open the door, I > don't care and I can choose between A and B randomly. If I know I WILL >open the door then I choose B. Obviously. (Obviously ?)
