AI! AI! AI! Best masturbation object ever! On Monday, 24 March 2025 at 15:07:27 UTC+2 John Clark wrote:
> "People are naturally attracted to the idea that "first something is > expensive, then it gets cheaper" — as if AI is a single thing of constant > quality, and when it gets cheaper, we'll use fewer chips to train it. But > what's important is the *scaling curve*: when it shifts, we simply > traverse it faster, because the value of what's at the end of the curve is > so high. [...] Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at > almost all things will require millions of chips, tens of billions of > dollars (at least), and is most likely to happen in 2026-2027. [...] Even > if the US and China were at parity in AI systems, it seems likely that > China could direct more talent, capital, and focus to military applications > of the technology. Combined with its large industrial base and > military-strategic advantages, this could help China take a commanding lead > on the global stage, not just for AI but for everything. If China can't get > millions of chips, we'll (at least temporarily) live in a unipolar world, > where only the US and its allies have these models. It's unclear whether > the unipolar world will last, but there's at least the possibility that, > *because > AI systems can eventually help make even smarter AI systems, a temporary > lead could be parlayed into a durable advantage."* > > *On DeepSeek and Export Controls > <https://darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-and-export-controls>* > > *The above was written by Dario Amodei, the head of Anthropic * > =========== > > *Are we close to an intelligence explosion?* > <https://futureoflife.org/ai/are-we-close-to-an-intelligence-explosion/> > > *From the above: * > > "We have every reason to expect that AI systems will eventually surpass > human level at every cognitive task. One such task is AI research itself. > This is why many have speculated that AIs will eventually enter a phase of > recursive self-improvement." > > *John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>* > > r$b > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/5424429c-efe2-474d-aa58-0d15c2493c3bn%40googlegroups.com.
