The end is neah!!! On Wednesday, 23 April 2025 at 20:38:09 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
> *About two weeks ago I told you what I thought about the AI 2027 > <https://ai-2027.com/?ending=slowdown#section-slowdown-0>. It explains what > we can expect to see in the improvement in AI and when we can expect to see > it. This video is what somebody else thinks about it. andit largely > corresponds with my own thoughts.* > > *This Former OpenAI Employee Just Revealed Everything.* > <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_F6mA662XnA&list=WL&index=6> > > * John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>* > *351* > > > On Sat, Apr 5, 2025 at 3:58 PM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote: > >> *For the last few days I've been studying the following website, there's >> a lot to take in but I strongly recommend you read it, you'd be hard >> pressed to find a better use for your time:* >> >> *AI 2027* <https://ai-2027.com/?ending=slowdown#section-slowdown-0> >> >> *It's a detailed month by month forecast of what we can expect in the >> field of AI over the next four years or so and was written by some of the >> best tech prognosticators in the field. They provide a brief summary of >> their findings:* >> >> *"**We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade >> will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We predict >> that A.I.s will continue to improve to the point where they’re fully >> autonomous agents that are better than humans at everything by the end of >> 2027 or so. **In early 2027, if current trends hold, A.I. will be a >> superhuman coder. Then, by mid-2027, it will be a superhuman A.I. >> researcher — an autonomous agent that can oversee teams of A.I. coders and >> make new discoveries. Then, in late 2027 or early 2028, it will become a >> superintelligent A.I. researcher — a machine intelligence that knows more >> than we do about building advanced A.I., and can automate its own research >> and development, essentially building smarter versions of itself. From >> there it’s a short hop to artificial superintelligence, or A.S.I., at which >> point all bets are off."* >> >> *They divide AI abilities into 3 categories, currently existing, emerging >> tech, and science fiction. Interestingly they predicted all but one of the >> things in the science fiction category will move into the currently >> existing category by 2035, most of them before 2029, the one exception is >> "Dyson spheres capture a significant portion of the sun's energy", it will >> only be in the "emerging tech" category in 2035. The authors think that the >> world is going to be changing even faster than what Ray Kurzweil believes, >> and I think they're probably right, yes sometimes it seems ridiculously >> fast but that is the nature of exponential growth. Other things in the >> "science-fiction category" are listed below and the dates when we can >> expect to see them move to the "existing technology" category:* >> >> >> *AIs are better than even the best human at everything that doesn't >> require a body (November 2027)* >> >> *Humanoid robots that are actually useful (June 2028) * >> >> *AI is able to become a superhuman computer hacker (June 2028) * >> >> *AI discovers a cure for cancer (December 2028)* >> >> *A fully self-sufficient robot economy (December 2028)* >> >> *AI can make mosquito sized killer drones (December 2028)* >> >> *AI finds a cure for aging (between October and December 2028)* >> >> *AI successfully uploads a human brain (between October and December >> 2028)* >> >> *Drexler style autonomous replicating nanobots (December 2035)* >> >> *AI has the capability of producing biosphere destroying Mirror Life >> <https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ads9158> (December 2035)* >> >> * John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis >> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>* >> wit >> >> >> >> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/59f04aeb-9506-4a80-b76d-b79f1507b665n%40googlegroups.com.
