# Re: Quantum Immortality - the principle of the least improbability/influencing things

```2008/12/30 kla...@bkpsecurity.com <kla...@bkpsecurity.com>:

> Lets assume, that Alice who believes in QI wants a certain probable
> event to happen, for instance win 1,000,000 in a casino. Alice then
> comes to a casino with a loaded gun and promises to herself, that she
> will kill herself if she does not win 1,000,000. You can even think
> about a suicidal lottery machine, which will automatically kill Alice
> if Alice does not win 1,000,000.
>
>
> Since Alice is immortal, there are two possivle outcomes
>
> 1). Alice wins 1,000,000 and the trigger is not pulled
> 2). Alice does not win 1,000,000, the trigger is pulled, the bullet
> goes through Alice's head without killing Alice
>
> Now although 1) is highly improbable 2) is much much more improbable.
>
> Due to the principle of the least improbability 1) is going to happen
> for a typical immortal - meaning that Alice wins 1,000,000
>
> If you accept that, you should accept that QI provides a way for
> immortals to influence the world by doing attempted suicides.
> Essentially, anything becomes possible for an immortal.```
```
It's one thing to hope that QI saves you when it seems all options are
gone but another thing to deliberately shoot yourself in the head:
what if the theory is wrong? Some time ago I had the idea of using
your method to win at gambling but not leave a (third person, at
least) corpse. I would go into the casino with the lethal device in my
pocket and formulate the intention in my mind that if I lost, I would
kill myself. Now probably I wouldn't kill myself, even if I lost, but
formulating the intention would at least mean that in a minority of
worlds where I lost, I would kill myself. Therefore, I would be
eliminating some of the losing worlds in the multiverse, and biasing
my chances in favour of finding myself in a world; which over many (as
close to fair as possible) games would give me a net expected game.
But alas, it turns out when you do the calculations that my expected
gain is about proportional to the probability that I would actually
leave a corpse behind, which is what I wanted to avoid.

--
Stathis Papaioannou

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