On Aug 29, 6:16 pm, Brent Meeker <meeke...@dslextreme.com> wrote:

> > Stathis once pointed on this list that crazy people can actually still
> > perform axiomatic reasoning very well, and invent all sorts of
> > elaborate justifications, the problem is their priors, not their
> > reasoning; so if you try to use Bayes as the entire basis of your
> > logic, you’re crazy ;)
> Axiomatic reasoning =/= probabilistic reasoning.  

Ok, probablistic/axiomatic, none of it works without the correct
priors, which Bayes can't produce.  Another exmaple would be dream
states, you could reason probalistically in your sleep, but without
the correct priors, your dreams will still be largely incoherent.

Don't get me wrong, I'm sure Bayes is very powerful- I just don't
think it's the be-all and end-all.

>Try basing all your
> reasoning on analogies.
> Brent

I do.  I think Bayes is just a special case of analogical reasoning ;)
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