2010/1/14 Nick Prince <m...@dtech.fsnet.co.uk>:
>>The ASSA proponents say that even though there are
>>thousand year old versions of you in the multiverse they are of very
>>low measure and you are therefore very unlikely to find yourself one
> How do they know this though? If the probability distribution was
> uniform then versions of me at any age would be just as probable.
> This is what I don’t get because they must be assuming there is some
> (unknown) probability distribution which accounts for the fact that
> thousand year old people are extremely unlikely. What they must be
> assuming is that each OM arises in a non uniform manner. I presume
> they think this because the laws of physics underpins the biochemical
> effects which make us age and this must be represented in the
> distribution (somehow). So there is an implicit assumption about the
> probability distribution on OM’s lurking around. So why not accept
> that the distribution is based on the Born rule which means RSSA?
The probability distribution is not uniform since as you get older
more and more versions of you die, so that you take up an
ever-narrower slice of the multiverse.
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